Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming The Oscars, The Emmys, The Grammys swear Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATED: Jan. 31, 2023
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2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Supporting Actor
CATEGORY COMMENTARY: Barry Keoghan’s shocking triumph over comeback sensation Ke Huy Quan from “Everything Everywhere All at Once” was an eye-raiser at the BAFTAs. Especially even over his co-star Brendan Gleeson.
Although Keoghan isn’t expected to translate to the Oscars (Quan is still favored for SAG), it does point to the overall strength of “Banshees” and why it could be a spoiler in categories like original screenplay and even best picture.
Guan, 51, has received rousing reviews for his turn as Waymond Wang, the delightfully goofy husband in Daniels’ whimsical multiverse comedy “Everything Everywhere All at Once.” Along the lines of past hardworking actors who received their big Oscar breaks later in their careers — such as last year’s winner Troy Kotsur for “CODA” (2021) — Quan’s comeback story is one of the season’s bright spots.
The final SAG predictions are on Variety.
See the latest movie predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.
See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
2023 Academy Awards Predictions
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theater and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2022.
2022 category winner: Troy Kotsur, “CODA” (Apple Original Films)
About Variety Awards Circuit:
Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.
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